Financial outlook

Lundbeck's financial guidance for 2012-2014 and historical target achievements

Financial guidance 2012

The underlying strong trend for 2011 is expected to continue in 2012. However, the company is facing patent expiry for escitalopram in the US in March 2012, which will result in a revenue decline for Lexapro®. Consequently, a drop in earnings is also expected.

For the full year 2012, Lundbeck expects revenue to be DKK 14.5-15.2 billion, profit from operations before depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to be DKK 3.0-3.5 billion and profit from operations (EBIT) to be DKK 2.0-2.5 billion.

2011
DKKm
2012
DKKbn
16,007
Revenue
14.5 - 15.2
4,628
EBITDA
3.0 - 3.5
393
EBIT
2.0 - 2.5

Floor guidance 2011-2014

In connection with the third quarter results 2010, Lundbeck provided a floor guidance for the period 2011-2014. For more information on the assumptions behind the guidance, please see the related release - Release no 415

DKKm 2013e 2014e
Revenue >14 bn >14 bn
SG&A costs 37-40% 37-40%
R&D costs approx 20% approx 20%
EBIT >2 bn >2 bn

Lundbeck's historical target achievements 2005-2011

Revenue EBIT
DKKbn Actual Target* Actual Target*
2011 16.0 15.3-15.8 3.4 3.3-3.6
2010 14.8 14.6-14.8 3.4 3.3-3.4
2009 13.7 13.1-13.6 2.9 2.8-3.0
2008 11.3 11.0-11.5 2.8 2.8-2.9
2007 11.0 - 2.7 >2.6
2006 9.2 - 1.6 ~1.6
2005 9.0 - 2.2  ~2.2
*Latest communicated target

Disclaimer

Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and inaccurate assumptions. This may cause actual results to differ materially from expectations.Factors that may affect future results include interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations, delay or failure of development projects, production problems, unexpected contract breaches or terminations, government-mandated or market-driven price decreases for Lundbeck's products, introduction of competing products, Lundbeck's ability to successfully market both new and existing products, exposure to product liability and other lawsuits, changes in reimbursement rules and governmental laws and related interpretation thereof and unexpected growth in expenses. Pursuant to section 107a of the Danish Financial statements Act, listed companies are under an obligation to consider whether they wish to disclose whether material agreements will be affected in the event of a change of control of the company. For reasons of competition, Lundbeck does not wish to disclose this.

Lu AA21004 conference call

Quarterly results

Lundbeck has announced headline results for Lu AA21004.


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